Independiente II vs Patronato II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
ARG
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
RIV
4 - 2
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
HUR
0 - 0
IND
31%
27%
42%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
17%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
SAR
18%
20%
61%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
ALD
2 - 1
PAT
47%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 2
BOC
16%
25%
59%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 0
GLP
33%
26%
41%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 1
PAT
58%
23%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |