Independiente Petrolero vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
DRT
1 - 0
IND
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
IND
4 - 1
JWI
46%
25%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
IND
1 - 2
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
IND
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 2
BOL
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 3
STR
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
REA
4 - 0
SAC
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
AUR
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
SAC
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |