Independiente Petrolero vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
13º
10º
20
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 45 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 39 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 35 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 34 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 34 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 34 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 30 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 24 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REA
0 - 0
IND
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IND
3 - 3
ABB
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
SAC
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UDV
1 - 2
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
IND
3 - 3
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
JWI
1 - 1
UDV
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DGV
0 - 0
JWI
25%
28%
47%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JWI
3 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 0
JWI
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 0
JWI
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |