Independiente PA vs Tuna Luso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SRE
1 - 3
IND
22%
21%
58%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 0
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 0
IND
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
IND
3 - 3
PAY
8%
18%
74%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
SCI
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TUN
2 - 1
BPA
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
REM
2 - 0
TUN
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TUN
1 - 2
REM
13%
19%
68%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TUN
2 - 1
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
TUN
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |