Independiente PA vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GAL
7 - 1
IND
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
FAS
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
IND
3 - 2
BPA
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 3
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 2
FAS
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
RIO
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 1
GAL
43%
22%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
RIO
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 2
RIO
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |