Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 3-4
Independiente PA vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 0
IND
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
IND
0 - 0
BRO
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 3
IND
17%
19%
64%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 0
IND
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
RIO
4 - 1
ECM
84%
10%
6%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
RIO
16%
19%
66%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 4
MAN
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |