Independiente PA vs Plácido de Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 1
IND
27%
25%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 1
IND
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -3 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
IND
1 - 2
REC
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
REM
3 - 1
IND
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
2 - 2
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 1
ATL
22%
23%
56%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
AND
3 - 4
PLA
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 2
SCH
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 1
ATL
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |