Independiente PA vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
IND
3 - 2
BPA
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 3
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
IND
2 - 1
VIL
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
IND
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
IND
4 - 1
ATL
22%
24%
53%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
3 - 2
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 4
FAS
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 0
ATL
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAS
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
VIL
49%
22%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |