Independiente PA vs Bragantino PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SEC
1 - 1
IND
23%
21%
56%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
CAM
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
REM
3 - 1
IND
80%
15%
5%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BPA
3 - 2
IND
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
TUN
11%
17%
73%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
BPA
3 - 3
TUN
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BPA
0 - 0
CAS
32%
24%
45%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 0
BPA
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BPA
1 - 1
TUN
13%
18%
69%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BPA
3 - 2
IND
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |