Independiente PA vs Barcelona RO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 3
IND
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
PLA
74%
15%
10%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 1
IND
27%
25%
47%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona RO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2018 |
BRO
1 - 1
RDA
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 1
SAN
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
BRO
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PLA
3 - 2
BRO
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 1
VIL
28%
21%
51%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |