Independiente PA vs Atlético Acreano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BPA
2 - 0
IND
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
4 - 0
IND
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
IND
1 - 2
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
IND
0 - 2
GAL
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
IND
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Acreano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 3
GAL
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 0
ATL
22%
23%
56%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
BPA
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
ATL
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |