Independiente Neuquén vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
INN
2 - 2
VIL
33%
27%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CIP
0 - 0
INN
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
INN
1 - 0
SDM
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
INN
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
INN
1 - 1
DEP
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SDM
2 - 0
ALV
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 0
SAN
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 3
ALV
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ALV
2 - 1
FER
61%
23%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DRO
2 - 3
ALV
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |