Independiente Neuquén vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 0
INN
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
INN
3 - 0
ALI
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DRO
1 - 3
INN
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
INN
2 - 1
CGB
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
GBR
3 - 1
INN
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
ALV
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 1
UNI
21%
24%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
ALV
71%
20%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
2 - 4
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 0
ALV
86%
11%
4%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |