Independiente Neuquén vs Alianza Cutral Có analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Neuquén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DRO
1 - 3
INN
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
INN
2 - 1
CGB
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
GBR
3 - 1
INN
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
INN
67%
20%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
INN
0 - 0
CIP
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Cutral Có
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 1
DEP
22%
22%
56%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CIP
2 - 1
ALI
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 1
CAI
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 2
GBR
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -3 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 1
ALI
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |