Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-2
Independiente Medellín vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
UNI
2 - 1
IND
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1994 |
CCP
0 - 0
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
OLI
0 - 2
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1994 |
IND
0 - 1
JUN
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
IND
3 - 0
CCP
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
UNI
2 - 1
IND
48%
24%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1994 |
UNI
2 - 1
EME
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1994 |
UNI
0 - 0
BSC
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1994 |
EME
2 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |