Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs 1/32
Global 3-3
Independiente Medellín vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
ENV
2 - 0
IND
28%
27%
44%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
AME
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
PAS
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BUC
2 - 4
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
IND
2 - 1
JAG
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
AME
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AME
0 - 3
CCP
45%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
AME
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
AME
2 - 0
IND
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +4 |