Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1967 |
IND
3 - 0
OCT
80%
12%
9%
|
73 | 23 | 50 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
IND
2 - 0
BOL
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1967 |
OCT
1 - 2
IND
29%
21%
51%
|
72 | 24 | 48 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
BOL
1 - 1
IND
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1967 |
RIV
6 - 2
IND
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1967 |
SFE
1 - 2
BOL
58%
19%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
SFE
2 - 0
OCT
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 23 | 51 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1967 |
BOL
2 - 2
SFE
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1967 |
OCT
6 - 2
SFE
28%
21%
52%
|
74 | 22 | 52 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1967 |
RAC
4 - 1
SFE
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |