Independiente Medellín vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 1
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
IND
0 - 3
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 3
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IND
0 - 0
HUI
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
JUN
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
CUC
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
MIL
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |