Independiente Medellín vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 1
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
IND
2 - 1
COR
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 0
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
SFE
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
COR
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
SFE
2 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
AME
0 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
SFE
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |