Independiente Medellín vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 0
IND
15%
26%
60%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
PAS
2 - 1
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
COR
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
IND
2 - 3
RAC
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
PAT
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 0
UNI
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 0
PAS
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
COR
2 - 0
PAT
72%
20%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 2
PAT
22%
31%
47%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |