Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 6-2
Independiente Medellín vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 2
IND
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
IND
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
JUN
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
IND
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ULC
2 - 1
PAL
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 2
IND
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 1
OHI
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 1
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
COB
3 - 1
PAL
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |