Independiente Medellín vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
IND
2 - 2
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
UNI
60%
24%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
IND
2 - 2
ONC
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PER
3 - 1
IND
29%
27%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 4
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 2
NAC
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |