Independiente Medellín vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
UNI
60%
24%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
IND
2 - 2
ONC
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PER
3 - 1
IND
29%
27%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
IND
4 - 2
MET
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 0
EQU
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIL
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 1
ALI
63%
23%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 0
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
ENV
64%
23%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |