Independiente Medellín vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
ENV
2 - 4
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
ONC
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
IND
1 - 4
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
SFE
2 - 0
IND
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
ONC
2 - 3
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
PAS
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
MIL
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
CAL
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |