Independiente Medellín vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 2
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
IND
4 - 0
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 2
IND
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
IND
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 1
SFE
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
JUN
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 2
COL
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 1
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |