Clausura Playoffs Fase final Final
Global 4-4
Independiente Medellín vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
JUN
3 - 2
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
AME
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 5
IND
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 0
IND
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
JUN
3 - 2
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
JUN
4 - 2
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 2
JUN
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 1
JUN
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
JUN
3 - 1
AGU
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |