Clausura Playoffs Final
Global 4-5
Independiente Medellín vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
JUN
4 - 1
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 2
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BUC
2 - 0
IND
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
IND
3 - 0
BUC
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
ATP
1 - 1
JUN
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
JUN
4 - 1
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
ATP
44%
29%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
SFE
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
AGU
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |