Independiente Medellín vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2013 |
IND
2 - 3
JAG
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
PAT
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
JUN
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
JUN
0 - 0
EQU
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
JUN
1 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 0
JUN
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
RSC
0 - 0
JUN
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |