Independiente Medellín vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 1
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
HUI
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
CHI
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ENV
1 - 1
IND
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 3
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 1
ENV
38%
29%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
JAG
42%
26%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COR
1 - 2
JAG
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 3
JAG
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 0
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |