Independiente Medellín vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
PAT
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 2
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 1
JAG
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
JAG
2 - 2
RIO
44%
23%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 0
BAR
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
AME
4 - 0
JAG
65%
21%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 1
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |