Independiente Medellín vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
IND
0 - 3
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
IND
1 - 2
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
CAL
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 1
AGU
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 0
RIO
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CUC
0 - 1
AGU
27%
29%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 3
TOL
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |