Independiente Medellín vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
IND
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
IND
2 - 3
ENV
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 1
IND
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
IND
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 3
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
AGU
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 3
AGU
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 3
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
AGU
3 - 0
ONC
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |