Independiente Medellín vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 1
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
JUN
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 1
IND
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
COR
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
COR
1 - 2
IND
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 0
HUI
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
EQU
2 - 2
ENV
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
ENV
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 0
CAL
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 1
JUN
32%
28%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |