Independiente Medellín vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
IND
1 - 4
QUI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
DEF
4 - 3
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 1
IND
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
CUC
43%
29%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
ENV
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 2
JUN
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 1
ENV
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |