Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Rionegro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IND
3 - 1
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
IND
34%
27%
40%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
IND
3 - 3
MIL
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Rionegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 1
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
RIO
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 2
PAS
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 1
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
4 - 1
ENV
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |