Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
JUN
1 - 2
IND
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
IND
2 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 4
IND
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
IND
0 - 0
JUN
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
IND
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
JUN
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 2
PER
69%
18%
12%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
IND
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |