Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
MEL
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 1
IND
40%
26%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
EME
1 - 0
IND
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
BUC
56%
24%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
SFE
0 - 1
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
HUI
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 2
CAL
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 0
TOL
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 0
TFC
68%
21%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HUI
1 - 0
TOL
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -2 |