Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
IND
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
IND
3 - 3
MIL
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
HUI
2 - 1
TOL
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 3
ONC
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CUC
2 - 3
TOL
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
PER
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |