Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 1
IND
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
IND
4 - 0
HUI
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CUC
0 - 1
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 0
EQU
35%
30%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 0
QUI
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 0
TOL
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
JUN
3 - 0
QUI
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 5
CAL
26%
28%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |