Independiente Medellín vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
JUN
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
QUI
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
AGU
3 - 0
IND
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
COR
1 - 2
IND
24%
28%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
COR
1 - 1
BOT
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
COR
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
COR
0 - 0
RIO
81%
13%
5%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |