Independiente Medellín vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
IND
0 - 2
RAC
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SFE
2 - 0
IND
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
SFE
2 - 2
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1967 |
SLO
3 - 2
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
RIV
1 - 1
GLP
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1967 |
OCT
0 - 4
RIV
20%
21%
59%
|
84 | 21 | 63 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
BOL
3 - 3
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |