Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
First-leg 0-0
Independiente Medellín vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
IND
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
IND
2 - 0
JUN
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 2
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
IND
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
CAU
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
LAN
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
GOD
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 1
LIG
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |