Independiente Medellín vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
IND
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
IND
34%
26%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
IND
2 - 2
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
UNI
60%
24%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
IND
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 0
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
AME
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 0
CHI
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIL
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |