Independiente Medellín vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ENV
1 - 1
IND
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 3
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
EQU
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
LEO
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
JAG
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAT
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ONC
2 - 2
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
ENV
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CUC
1 - 1
CHI
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
CHI
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |