Independiente Medellín vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 1
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
IND
3 - 2
MIL
51%
25%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
HUI
1 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 3
IND
35%
28%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
CHI
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AME
4 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
SFE
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
HUI
4 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 3
IND
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |