Independiente Medellín vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
80%
14%
7%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
HUI
1 - 0
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
IND
1 - 1
CEN
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
AME
3 - 1
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
IND
1 - 2
ENV
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
BSC
2 - 0
COL
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
LIG
0 - 0
BSC
47%
30%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 1
NAC
44%
31%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
EME
0 - 0
BSC
40%
30%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 1
AUC
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |