Independiente Medellín vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
CAL
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 5
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
IND
1 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
ONC
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEÑ
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ENV
0 - 0
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
PAS
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 1
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
IND
1 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |