Independiente Medellín vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
IND
0 - 0
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PAS
1 - 1
IND
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
IND
1 - 3
AME
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
IND
2 - 0
JUN
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
ACS
1 - 0
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 2
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 1
EQU
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 0
LQE
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |