Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 0
IND
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
ONC
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
MIL
3 - 2
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
CUC
2 - 2
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
IND
4 - 1
ENV
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
CUC
0 - 0
BUC
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 1
SFE
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ENV
1 - 2
BUC
37%
30%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BUC
0 - 0
AME
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 1
BUC
40%
30%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |