Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
ENV
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
PAS
1 - 1
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
BUC
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
JAG
0 - 2
IND
21%
27%
52%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 0
BUC
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BUC
1 - 0
CAL
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
IND
2 - 0
BUC
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BUC
3 - 0
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
HUI
0 - 2
BUC
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |